NASA continues to warn of the potential for a sudden solar flare emanating an Electro Magnetic Pulse (EMP) in the earth’s direction at some point during the coming solar maximum, scheduled to peak in 2012.
A team led by Mausumi Dikpati of the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) predicts the current solar maximum to be the most intense in at least fifty years and possibly as intense as the 1859 Carrington Event.
As we discussed in June, the impact of a solar storm upon the earth is measured in nano-Teslas or nT. The solar storm that knocked out the Quebec power grid in 1989 measured 589 Nt’s. The 1859 Carrington Event measured 1,760 nT’s.
The scientists at NCAR say they have confidence in the forecast because, in a series of test runs, the newly developed model simulated the strength of the past eight solar cycles with more than 98% accuracy.
The forecasts are generated, in part, by tracking the subsurface movements of the sunspot remnants of the previous two solar cycles.
The NCAR team's computer model, known as the Predictive Flux-transport Dynamo Model, draws on research by NCAR scientists indicating that the evolution of sunspots is caused by a current of plasma, or electrified gas, that circulates between the Sun's equator and its poles over a period of 17 to 22 years.
Think of it like the Gulf Stream currents that regulate the weather on either side of the Atlantic.
I used to go out with a buddy who had a charter fishing boat to fish the blue water of the Gulf Stream. It runs about fifty miles offshore from Cape Lookout, NC.
You can see it before you get there . . . it is a ribbon of deep, Caribbean blue cutting through the sea-green mid Atlantic. In mid-winter when the temperatures on shore are in the thirties and forties, you’re still fishing the Blue Water in temperatures in the 70’s.
This Predictive Flux-transport Dynamo Model current acts like a conveyor belt of sunspots the way the Gulf Stream acts as a conveyor belt of warm water.
According to the current flow, NCAR predicts that Cycle 24 will peak in 2012 with a massive coronal mass ejection that will blast the planet with a massive EMP pulse.
The US Army calculated that it would take an EMP blast level of between 30-80 kV/m to fry the circuits in a vehicle. But in tests using a 2010 Toyota Prius, they began at a minimum level of 5 kV/m. They didn’t need to raise the EMP level any further.
And if they want to raise it any higher, they’re gonna need another Prius.. .
According to various official astrophysics and solar research labs around the world, something very, very strange is going on in our solar system. A partial list includes the following:
•Recent solar activity highest in 8000 years
•Sun's magnetic field has decreased in size by 25%
•300% increase in galactic dust entering our solar system
•Mercury’s magnetosphere experiencing significant increases
•Venus exhibiting a 2500% increase in its “green glow”
•Mars showing a rapid appearance of clouds and ozone
•Mars observations reveal up to 50% erosion of its ice features within a 12-month period
•Jupiter plasma torus increasing; its moon Io exhibiting the same changes
•A 200% increase in the density of Io's plasma torus
•Jupiter's Disappearance of White Ovals since 1997 - recent increase in storms
•Io's ionosphere is 1000% higher
•Jupiter’s moon Europa much brighter than scientists expected
•Jupiter’s moon Gannymede is 200% brighter
•Saturn's plasma torus is 1000% more dense
•Aurorae first seen in Saturn's polar regions in recent years
•Uranus was featureless in 1996 - exhibiting huge storms since 1999
•Uranus in 2004 was also markedly brighter than in 1999
•Neptune is 40% brighter in the near-infrared range based on observations from 1996 - 2002
•Pluto observations reveal a 300% increase in atmospheric pressure
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